I am certain that the traditional manual will die out eventually. SMG is better. Don't get me wrong -- I like the feel of a traditional manual, and would rather get a manual over an SMG. However, when the technology becomes cheaper, and eventually spreads to all car manufacturers, I believe the top-of-the-line vechiles will start dropping out the manual. We don't have 3-speed or 4-speed cars anymore. Fuel injection took over also. Once the manufacturers are able to define stable firmware -- *giggles* -- I believe they will start pushing for SMG, marketing it as a feature that not only improves performance, but also improves reliability, and who knows what else they will come up with. However, I don't think this shift will happen in the near future. We will be able to find manuals for a while. I believe most manufacturers will first go through a stage of standard 6-speed manual transmissions before everyone moves to clutchless. I doubt you'll be able to buy a brand new car with a clutch pedal 30 years from now.